Beat the odds! These results of over 10,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations
predict your chances to advance in the 2005 TopCoder Collegiate Challenge based only on
your current TopCoder rating and volatility. Prove that you're
underrated as you advance through the Tournament. Also remember that in any
sufficiently large set of events, some will be of vanishingly small
probability.
The model used here is a normal distribution with the mean of your rating and
standard deviation of your volatility, assuming every advancing coder
scores at least 0 points, and everyone competes in every round they are
eligible for. This information is provided for entertainment purposes
only.
